Inside investor reaction to Yahoo! Inc.

On March 1, 2010, in Tech, by whix

Earnings announcements can make investing tricky. Many traders try to time trades based on earnings releases, but usually find such trading is difficult and risky. It is often better to take a look at how the market has reacted to a company’s results a few weeks after the initial announcement.
Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) released its earnings [...]

Earnings announcements can make investing tricky. Many traders try to time trades based on earnings releases, but usually find such trading is difficult and risky. It is often better to take a look at how the market has reacted to a company’s results a few weeks after the initial announcement.

Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) released its earnings filing on 01/26. The company reported a change in quarter-over-quarter sales of -4.12% and posted an EPS (trailing twelve months) of .42.

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By now the market has had time to settle in and look closely at the numbers. A stock’s performance in the few weeks following an announcement, compared to other stocks in its industry, the industry as a whole, and market as a whole, really tells you how investors and analysts felt about the announcement.

Compared to peers

One way to gauge performance is look at a stock compared to other stocks in its industry with similar market caps. YHOO peer Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) has seen a 21.75% stock price gain over about the last month, while another peer, Google Inc. (GOOG) saw a -1.58% gain (loss). So with a return of -1.70%, Yahoo! Inc. saw less price gain than BIDU and under-performed GOOG’s price performance over the last month.

Compared to the S&P 500 Index

Now, let’s see how Yahoo! Inc. stock performance compares to the rest of the market by looking at it compared to the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (.INX). Since 01/26, the S&P 500 index has returned around .9%, and again, YHOO saw about a -1.70% gain (loss) during that time. Could be better.

Compared to the rest of the “Internet Information Providers” industry

Since the YHOO announcement (about 30 days ago), the stock has posted a -1.70% gain (loss). Over that same period, the stock’s industry, Internet Information Providers, saw a – .90% gain (loss). That means YHOO that has under-performed its industry as a whole 88.89% since the earnings announcement. Small differences aren’t significant, but when the spread is large it indicates the stock is either much more or much less favored than its group as a whole.

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